Opening Line Analytics
NRFI Picks
Burns, Ch headshot

Burns, Ch

RHP · Cincinnati Reds · 2026 Season

View Today's Prediction →

Burns, Ch has allowed a first-inning run in 4 of 29 starts in 2026 (13.8%). His 86.2% NRFI rate ranks #19 of 187 qualified starters (10+ starts). Last start: 2026-09-18.

86.2%
NRFI Rate
25-4
Record
29
Starts
3W
Streak

2026 Starts

OldestRecent
CLE
L
PIT
W
WSH
W
MIA
W
STL
W
SF
L
CHC
L
LAD
W
MIL
W
CHC
W

First Inning Performance

2026 season avg · 29 starts

AVG RUNS
0.31
Lower is better
AVG HITS
0.59
Lower is better
AVG K
1.38
Higher is better
AVG BB
0.45
Lower is better

About NRFI Stats

NRFI (No Runs First Inning) tracks whether a starting pitcher holds the opposing lineup scoreless in the first inning. A high NRFI rate indicates a pitcher who consistently gets through the first without giving up runs — a key signal for first-inning prop bets.

Through 29 starts this season, Burns, Ch has held the first inning scoreless 25 times (86.2% NRFI rate). He's averaging 0.31 runs, 0.59 hits, 1.38 Ks, and 0.45 walks per first inning this season.

Opening Line Analytics combines Burns, Ch's historical stats with real-time lineup data and 10,000-iteration Monte Carlo simulation to generate a combined NRFI probability before every start.

See Today's NRFI Prediction

Live first-inning predictions with Vegas odds, edge %, and Kelly bet sizing — updated daily before first pitch.

Open NRFI Predictor →