Arrighetti headshot

Arrighetti

RHP · Toronto Blue Jays · 2026 Season

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Arrighetti has allowed a first-inning run in 6 of 19 starts in 2026 (31.6%). His 68.4% NRFI rate ranks #117 of 187 qualified starters (10+ starts). Last start: 2026-09-06.

68.4%
NRFI Rate
13-6
Record
19
Starts
3L
Streak

2026 Starts

OldestRecent
LAA
W
KC
L
CLE
L
DET
W
TB
W
WSH
W
BAL
W
CWS
L
KC
L
KC
L

First Inning Performance

2026 season avg · 19 starts

AVG RUNS
0.58
Lower is better
AVG HITS
0.89
Lower is better
AVG K
1.05
Higher is better
AVG BB
0.53
Lower is better

About NRFI Stats

NRFI (No Runs First Inning) tracks whether a starting pitcher holds the opposing lineup scoreless in the first inning. A high NRFI rate indicates a pitcher who consistently gets through the first without giving up runs — a key signal for first-inning prop bets.

Through 19 starts this season, Arrighetti has held the first inning scoreless 13 times (68.4% NRFI rate). He's averaging 0.58 runs, 0.89 hits, 1.05 Ks, and 0.53 walks per first inning this season.

Opening Line Analytics combines Arrighetti's historical stats with real-time lineup data and 10,000-iteration Monte Carlo simulation to generate a combined NRFI probability before every start.

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Live first-inning predictions with Vegas odds, edge %, and Kelly bet sizing — updated daily before first pitch.

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