Opening Line Analytics
NRFI Picks
Andrew Alvarez headshot

Andrew Alvarez

LHP · Washington Nationals · 2026 Season

View Today's Prediction →

Andrew Alvarez has allowed a first-inning run in 1 of 17 starts in 2026 (5.9%). His 94.1% NRFI rate ranks #2 of 190 qualified starters (10+ starts). Last start: 2026-09-25.

94.1%
NRFI Rate
16-1
Record
17
Starts
1L
Streak

2026 Starts

OldestRecent
PHI
W
CIN
W
NYM
W
TEX
W
COL
W
MIA
W
LAD
W
LAA
W
STL
W
NYM
L

First Inning Performance

2026 season avg · 17 starts

AVG RUNS
0.06
Lower is better
AVG HITS
0.53
Lower is better
AVG K
1.29
Higher is better
AVG BB
0.35
Lower is better

About NRFI Stats

NRFI (No Runs First Inning) tracks whether a starting pitcher holds the opposing lineup scoreless in the first inning. A high NRFI rate indicates a pitcher who consistently gets through the first without giving up runs — a key signal for first-inning prop bets.

Through 17 starts this season, Andrew Alvarez has held the first inning scoreless 16 times (94.1% NRFI rate). He's averaging 0.06 runs, 0.53 hits, 1.29 Ks, and 0.35 walks per first inning this season.

Opening Line Analytics combines Andrew Alvarez's historical stats with real-time lineup data and 10,000-iteration Monte Carlo simulation to generate a combined NRFI probability before every start.

See Today's NRFI Prediction

Live first-inning predictions with Vegas odds, edge %, and Kelly bet sizing — updated daily before first pitch.

Open NRFI Predictor →