Luke Farrell Props & Projections
TE · SF · Week 4 vs DEN
This week
| Market | Projection | Likely range | Book line | Lean |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Anytime touchdown | 8.5% | probability | 8.3% | book implied |
Projection vs results, week by week
| Week | Opp | Market | Projection | Book line | Actual | vs line |
|---|
Common questions
- What is Luke Farrell's anytime touchdown probability this week?
- Our simulations give Luke Farrell a 8.5% chance to score a touchdown in Week 4 against DEN. The books price it near 8.3%.
- Where do these numbers come from?
- Each game is simulated 10,000 times. We publish the projected median plus the p25 to p75 range next to the book line, so you can see the full spread of outcomes rather than a single number.