Opening Line AnalyticsNFL
Payne Durham

Payne Durham Props & Projections

TE · TB · Week 6 vs PIT

This week

MarketProjectionLikely rangeBook lineLean
Anytime touchdown6.2%probability5.8%book implied

Projection vs results, week by week

WeekOppMarketProjectionBook lineActualvs line

Common questions

What is Payne Durham's anytime touchdown probability this week?
Our simulations give Payne Durham a 6.2% chance to score a touchdown in Week 6 against PIT. The books price it near 5.8%.
Where do these numbers come from?
Each game is simulated 10,000 times. We publish the projected median plus the p25 to p75 range next to the book line, so you can see the full spread of outcomes rather than a single number.

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